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  1. Gross Margin Forecast 
    Gross Margin is calculated as (Total Revenue - Total COGS) / Total Revenue. Although Revenue and COGS (cost of goods sold) can be modeled separately, we use the calculated value and run it using our model. As of posting, the graph below shows an average 93% accuracy measured by the variance (yellow line) between forecast and actual values over 3 months using sample data.
    gross margin forecast
  2. Revenue Forecast
    The sample data below plots an average accuracy rate of 84.3% for the overall trend captured over seven months and shows a dip from December 2022 to January 2023.
    revenue forecast

 

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The calculations for this Model is run based on an open-source code granted through this license.